class: right, middle, my-title, title-slide .title[ # State of the Ecosystem <br /> Mid-Atlantic 2025 ] .subtitle[ ## MAFMC <br /> 8 April 2025 ] .author[ ### Sarah Gaichas, lead editor, NEFSC ] --- class: top, left <style> p.caption { font-size: 0.6em; } </style> <style> .reduced_opacity { opacity: 0.5; } </style> # State of the Ecosystem (SOE) reporting ## Improving ecosystem information and synthesis for fishery managers .pull-left[ - Ecosystem indicators linked to management objectives <a name=cite-depiper_operationalizing_2017></a>([DePiper et al., 2017](https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article/74/8/2076/3094701)) + Contextual information + Report evolving since 2016 + Fishery-relevant subset of full Ecosystem Status Reports - Open science emphasis <a name=cite-bastille_improving_2020></a>([Bastille et al., 2020](https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155)) - Used within Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council's Ecosystem Process <a name=cite-muffley_there_2020></a>([Muffley et al., 2020](https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156)) ] .pull-right[ *The IEA Loop¹*  .footnote[ [1] https://www.integratedecosystemassessment.noaa.gov/national/IEA-approach ] ] ??? --- ## State of the Ecosystem: Maintain 2024 structure for 2025 .pull-left[ ## 2025 Report Structure 1. Graphical summary + Page 1 report card re: objectives &rarr; + Page 2 risk summary bullets + Page 3 2024 snapshot 1. Performance relative to management objectives 1. Risks to meeting management objectives + Climate and Ecosystem risks + Offshore wind development 1. 2024 Highlights ] .pull-right[  ] --- ## Updated Objectives and Risks tables aligning with indicators .pull-left[ <div class="tabwid"><style>.cl-b828e0a2{}.cl-b826649e{font-family:'Helvetica';font-size:11pt;font-weight:normal;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);background-color:transparent;}.cl-b82664a8{font-family:'Helvetica';font-size:11pt;font-weight:bold;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);background-color:transparent;}.cl-b82752be{margin:0;text-align:left;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);padding-bottom:5pt;padding-top:5pt;padding-left:5pt;padding-right:5pt;line-height: 1;background-color:transparent;}.cl-b8275e08{width:2.094in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 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1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b8275e27{width:2.094in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b8275e28{width:4.939in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}</style><table data-quarto-disable-processing='true' class='cl-b828e0a2'><caption style="display:table-caption;margin:0pt;text-align:center;border-bottom: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-top: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-left: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-right: 0.00pt solid transparent;padding-top:3pt;padding-bottom:3pt;padding-left:3pt;padding-right:3pt;line-height: 1;background-color:transparent;"><span>Ecosystem-scale fishery management objectives in the Mid-Atlantic Bight</span></caption><thead><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><th class="cl-b8275e08"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Objective categories</span></p></th><th class="cl-b8275e09"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Indicators reported</span></p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="2"class="cl-b8275e0a"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b82664a8">Objectives: Provisioning and Cultural Services</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b8275e0c"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Seafood Production</span></p></td><td class="cl-b8275e12"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Landings; commercial total and by feeding guild; recreational harvest</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b8275e13"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Commercial Profits</span></p></td><td class="cl-b8275e14"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Revenue decomposed to price and volume</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b8275e0c"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Recreational Opportunities</span></p></td><td class="cl-b8275e12"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Angler trips; recreational fleet diversity</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b8275e15"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Stability</span></p></td><td class="cl-b8275e16"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Diversity indices (fishery and ecosystem)</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b8275e1c"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Social &amp; Cultural</span></p></td><td class="cl-b8275e1d"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Community fishing engagement and social vulnerability status</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b8275e1e"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Protected Species</span></p></td><td class="cl-b8275e1f"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Bycatch; population (adult and juvenile) numbers; mortalities</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="2"class="cl-b8275e20"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b82664a8">Potential Drivers: Supporting and Regulating Services</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b8275e1e"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Management</span></p></td><td class="cl-b8275e1f"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Stock status; catch compared with catch limits</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b8275e0c"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Biomass</span></p></td><td class="cl-b8275e12"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Biomass or abundance by feeding guild from surveys</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b8275e27"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Environment</span></p></td><td class="cl-b8275e28"><p class="cl-b82752be"><span class="cl-b826649e">Climate and ecosystem risk indicators listed in Table 2</span></p></td></tr></tbody></table></div> ] .pull-right[ <div class="tabwid"><style>.cl-b832f43e{}.cl-b830c100{font-family:'Helvetica';font-size:11pt;font-weight:normal;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);background-color:transparent;}.cl-b830c10a{font-family:'Helvetica';font-size:11pt;font-weight:bold;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);background-color:transparent;}.cl-b831a3c2{margin:0;text-align:left;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 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1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b831ad6a{width:0.99in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b831ad6b{width:2.204in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b831ad72{width:2.806in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b831ad73{width:0.99in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b831ad74{width:2.204in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b831ad75{width:2.806in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}</style><table data-quarto-disable-processing='true' class='cl-b832f43e'><caption style="display:table-caption;margin:0pt;text-align:center;border-bottom: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-top: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-left: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-right: 0.00pt solid transparent;padding-top:3pt;padding-bottom:3pt;padding-left:3pt;padding-right:3pt;line-height: 1;background-color:transparent;"><span>Risks to meeting fishery management objectives in the Mid-Atlantic Bight</span></caption><thead><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><th class="cl-b831ad54"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Risk categories</span></p></th><th class="cl-b831ad55"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Observation indicators reported</span></p></th><th class="cl-b831ad56"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Potential driver indicators reported</span></p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="3"class="cl-b831ad57"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c10a">Climate and Ecosystem Risks</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b831ad60"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Risks to Managing Spatially</span></p></td><td class="cl-b831ad68"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Managed species (fish and cetacean) distribution shifts</span></p></td><td class="cl-b831ad69"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Benthic and pelagic forage distribution; ocean temperature, changes in currents and cold pool</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b831ad60"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Risks to Managing Seasonally</span></p></td><td class="cl-b831ad68"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Managed species spawning and migration timing changes</span></p></td><td class="cl-b831ad69"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Habitat timing: Length of ocean summer, cold pool seasonal persistence</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b831ad60"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Risks to Setting Catch Limits</span></p></td><td class="cl-b831ad68"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Managed species body condition and recruitment changes</span></p></td><td class="cl-b831ad69"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Benthic and pelagic forage quality &amp; abundance: ocean temperature &amp; acidification </span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="3"class="cl-b831ad6a"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c10a">Other Ocean Uses Risks</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b831ad73"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Offshore Wind Risks</span></p></td><td class="cl-b831ad74"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Fishery revenue and landings from wind lease areas by species and port</span></p></td><td class="cl-b831ad75"><p class="cl-b831a3c2"><span class="cl-b830c100">Wind development speed; Protected species presence and hotspots</span></p></td></tr></tbody></table></div> ] --- ## Ecosystem synthesis themes Characterizing ecosystem change for fishery management * Societal, biological, physical and chemical factors comprise the **multiple system drivers** that influence marine ecosystems through a variety of different pathways. * Changes in the multiple drivers can lead to **regime shifts** — large, abrupt and persistent changes in the structure and function of an ecosystem. * Regime shifts and changes in how the multiple system drivers interact can result in **ecosystem reorganization** as species and humans respond and adapt to the new environment. .pull-left[  ] .pull-right[  ] --- ## State of the Ecosystem report scale and figures .pull-left[ Spatial scale  A [glossary of terms](https://noaa-edab.github.io/tech-doc/glossary.html) (2021 Memo 5), detailed [technical methods documentation](https://NOAA-EDAB.github.io/tech-doc) and [indicator data](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/ecodata) are available online. ] .pull-right[ Key to figures <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-2-1.png" width="396" /> .contrib[ Trends assessed only for 30+ years: [more information](https://noaa-edab.github.io/tech-doc/trend-analysis.html) <p style="color:#FF8C00;">Orange line = significant increase</p> <p style="color:#9932CC;">Purple line = significant decrease</p> No color line = not significant or < 30 years <p style="background-color:#D3D3D3;">Grey background = last 10 years</p> ] ] --- ## 2025 State of the Ecosystem Request tracking memo: updates noted along the way .scroll-output[ <div class="tabwid"><style>.cl-b9f7e31a{}.cl-b9f35ca0{font-family:'Helvetica';font-size:11pt;font-weight:bold;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 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1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dcc6{width:0.948in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dcc7{width:2.595in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dcce{width:2.832in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dccf{width:4.548in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dcd0{width:9.601in;background-color:rgba(245, 245, 220, 1.00);vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dcd8{width:1.475in;background-color:rgba(245, 245, 220, 1.00);vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dcd9{width:0.948in;background-color:rgba(245, 245, 220, 1.00);vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dcda{width:2.595in;background-color:rgba(245, 245, 220, 1.00);vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dcdb{width:2.832in;background-color:rgba(245, 245, 220, 1.00);vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dcdc{width:4.548in;background-color:rgba(245, 245, 220, 1.00);vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dce2{width:9.601in;background-color:rgba(239, 239, 239, 1.00);vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dce3{width:1.475in;background-color:rgba(239, 239, 239, 1.00);vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dce4{width:0.948in;background-color:rgba(239, 239, 239, 1.00);vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dce5{width:2.595in;background-color:rgba(239, 239, 239, 1.00);vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dcec{width:2.832in;background-color:rgba(239, 239, 239, 1.00);vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-b9f4dced{width:4.548in;background-color:rgba(239, 239, 239, 1.00);vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}</style><table data-quarto-disable-processing='true' class='cl-b9f7e31a'><thead><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><th class="cl-b9f4daf8"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35ca0">Request</span></p></th><th class="cl-b9f4daf9"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35ca0">Year</span></p></th><th class="cl-b9f4db02"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35ca0">Rank</span></p></th><th class="cl-b9f4db03"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35ca0">Source</span></p></th><th class="cl-b9f4db04"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35ca0">Status</span></p></th><th class="cl-b9f4db0c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35ca0">Progress</span></p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="6"class="cl-b9f4db0d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35ca0">System level thresholds/ref pts</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db21"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Compare EOF (Link) thresholds to empirical thresholds (Large, Tam) </span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db22"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db23"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db2a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db2b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db2c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Analysis planning with Mid SSC</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db34"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Simulation analysis to gauge effectiveness of indicators (e.g. EOF testing)</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db35"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db36"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db37"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress for EOF</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Analysis planning with Mid SSC</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db40"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Trend Analysis / Inflection / Break points / Early warning variance</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db48"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2019 - 2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db49"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db4a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Both Councils and SSCs</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db4b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In SOE (trends)</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db52"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">New short term trend analysis included</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db34"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Optimum yield for ecosystem</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db35"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db36"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db37"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Analysis planning with Mid SSC</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db53"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Include standardized language about uncertainty from e.g. IPCC or NCA applicable to each indicator or data input</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db54"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db55"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db5e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Establish more links between events and consequences (e.g. temp ranges for more species)</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db66"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db67"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db68"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db70"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db71"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Temperature threshold analysis in progress</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db53"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">How does phyto size comp affect EOF indicator, if at all?</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db54"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db55"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">High</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Analysis planning with Mid SSC</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db34"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Sum of TAC/ Landings relative to TAC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db35"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021, 2023</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db36"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Moderate</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db37"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In SOE-MAFMC, In progress-NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Seafood Production section</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db53"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Nutrient input, Benthic Flux and POC (particulate organic carbon) to inform benthic productivity by something other than surface indicators</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db54"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021, 2023</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db55"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Low</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In SOE </span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Benthos abuncance and distribution indices included</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db34"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Reduce indicator dimensionality with multivariate statistics</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db35"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2020</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db36"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lowest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db37"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Analysis planning with Mid SSC</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="6"class="cl-b9f4db72"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35ca0">Management</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db8e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Consider including additional indicators for risk policy/risk assessment processes</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db8f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db90"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db98"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db99"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db9a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Indicators added to MAFMC EAFM risk assessment</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db9b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Management complexity</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dba2"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2019</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dba3"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">High</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dba4"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dba5"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbac"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Student work needs further analysis, no further work this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dbad"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Recreational bycatch mortality as an indicator of regulatory waste</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbae"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbaf"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">High</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb6"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb7"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb8"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dbc0"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Re-evaluate EPUs</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbc1"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2020</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbca"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lowest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbcb"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbcc"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbd4"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="6"class="cl-b9f4dbd5"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35ca0">Short term forecasts</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db21"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Short term forecasting from CEFI (water temp, productivity)</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db22"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2022, 2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db23"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db2a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db2b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Started but stopped</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db2c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Comparing short term forecasts with observations</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dbad"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Using phytoplankton trends to forecast fish stocks</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbae"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2022</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbaf"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">High</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb6"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb7"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb8"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="6"class="cl-b9f4dbe1"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35ca0">Regime shifts</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dbf4"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Time series analysis (Zooplankton/Forage fish) to tie into regime shifts</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbfc"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbfd"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">High</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbfe"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc06"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc07"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Individual projects started</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db53"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Regime shifts in Social-Economic indicators</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db54"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db55"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">High</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Analysis planning with Mid SSC</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db34"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Characterize current conditions in context of expected short term change</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db35"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db36"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Moderate</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db37"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Language added to Future Considerations sections</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="6"class="cl-b9f4dc08"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35ca0">Multiple system drivers</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc1a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Profits vs Revenue: net revenue indicator incomplete and different trend from gross</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc1b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2023-2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc1c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc1d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Both Councils and SSCs</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc24"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc25"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Profit calculation for subset of fleet</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db53"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Clarify objectives, terminology and presentation for fishing community engagement/reliance/social indicators</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db54"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2022, 2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db55"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">ECCCG, Both Councils and SSCs</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In SOE</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Social and cultural section</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc26"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Time series of social indicators</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc27"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2023-2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc28"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc2e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc2f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In SOE</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc30"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Community revenue total climate vulnerability</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc31"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Consider appropriate scale for social and economic indicators</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc38"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc39"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc3a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc42"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In SOE</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc43"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Regional and community level indicators included</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db34"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Add social and economic considerations in the Climate and Ecosystem risks section</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db35"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db36"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db37"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In SOE</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Climate risk to landings and revenue included</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db53"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Include community affordability in port level vulnerability</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db54"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db55"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In Catalog</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Economic and gentrification ranks by community included</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dbad"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Evaluate port level landings considering home port vs out of state vessel landings</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbae"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbaf"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb6"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb7"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb8"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db53"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Clarify community definitions and consider indicators beyond landings to employment, subsistence</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db54"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db55"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Highest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In Catalog</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Economic and gentrification ranks by community included</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db34"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Linking Condition </span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db35"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2020</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db36"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">High</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db37"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Paper in prep</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db40"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Avg weight of diet components by feeding group</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db48"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2019</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db49"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">High</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db4a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Internal</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db4b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db52"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Part of fish condition project</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db34"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Consider including indicators of predator prey relationships / predator pressure</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db35"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db36"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">High</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db37"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Risk indicators developed for MAFMC EAFM risk assessment</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db40"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Cumulative weather index</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db48"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2020</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db49"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Moderate</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db4a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db4b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db52"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Data gathered for prototype</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc44"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Modeling cold pool/warm core ring and wind development interactions</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc45"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2022</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc4c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Moderate</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc4d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc4e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc4f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Impact of climate on data streams (changes in catchability of survey)</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc57"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2022</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc58"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Moderate</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc60"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc61"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In Progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc62"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC project initiated</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dbad"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Young of Year index from multiple surveys</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbae"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2019</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbaf"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Moderate</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb6"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb7"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb8"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Links between species availability inshore/offshore (estuarine conditions) and trends in recreational fishing effort?</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc57"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc58"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc60"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc61"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc62"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Bluefish prey index inshore/offshore partially addresses</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db34"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Tell Social stories like we try to tell biological stories</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db35"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2022</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db36"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db37"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">GARFO</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db9b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">What determines a "risk"? Include aquaculture as a risk?</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dba2"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2022</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dba3"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dba4"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dba5"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbac"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Climate and Ecosystem Risks revision</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db34"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">OA linked to scallop harvest in areas where aragonite saturation is highlighted. </span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db35"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2023</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db36"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db37"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Both Councils</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db9b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Stability indicator - yield over time in NE</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dba2"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2023</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dba3"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dba4"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dba5"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbac"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc63"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Vessel-level diversity vs fleet level diversity</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc64"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2023</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc6a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc6b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc74"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc75"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db53"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Inclusion of upcoming HMS climate vulnerability assessment</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db54"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2023</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db55"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Assessment not yet published</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dbad"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Report changes in small fish and large fish biomass along with production anomalies</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbae"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbaf"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb6"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb7"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb8"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db40"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Aggregate surplus production and avg length of inds at recruitment age to productivity section</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db48"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db49"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db4a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db4b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db52"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc76"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Inclusion of additional environmental justice indicators from National Academies</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc7e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc7f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc80"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc88"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not allowed</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc89"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Prohibited by executive order</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db53"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Distribution shifts: percent of species shifting in similar directions and magnitude of the change, id cross jurisdictional shifts</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db54"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db55"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Comparions of forage, benthos, zooplankton spatial trends</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc26"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Track subsequent impacts of 2023 phytoplankton bloom in GOM</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc27"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc28"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc2e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc2f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc30"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Research ongoing</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db53"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Consider state managed fishery production instead of recreational shark harvest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db54"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db55"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db34"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Consider HMS recreational effort in effort trends</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db35"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db36"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db37"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">HMS is developing indicators that may be useful</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db53"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Consider HMS predation pressure</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db54"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db55"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">HMS is developing indicators that may be useful</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dbad"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Mean stomach weight across feeding guilds</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbae"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2019</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbaf"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Low</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb6"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb7"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb8"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Intern evaluated trends in guild diets</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db53"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Changing per capita seafood consumption as driver of revenue?</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db54"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db55"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Low</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc26"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Relate OA to nutrient input; are there "dead zones" (hypoxia)?</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc27"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc28"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Low</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc2e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc2f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In SOE</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc30"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In new 2023 Highlights section</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db53"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Estuarine Water Quality</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db54"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2020</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db55"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Low</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In SOE-MAFMC, In progress-NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Student project linking menhaden to water quality</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dbad"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Decomposition of diversity drivers highlighting social components</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbae"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbaf"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lowest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb6"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb7"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbb8"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dbc0"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Indicators of chemical pollution in offshore waters</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbc1"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbca"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lowest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbcb"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbcc"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dbd4"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc44"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Estuarine condition relative to power plants and temp</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc45"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2019</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc4c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lowest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc4d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc4e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc4f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="6"class="cl-b9f4dc8a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35ca0">Functional group level status/thresholds/ref pts</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc9d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">VAST and uncertainty </span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc9e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2020</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dca6"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Moderate</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dca7"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Both Councils</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dca8"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dca9"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not ready for 2023</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db53"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Consider expanding species included in seabird productivity indicators--Roseate tern</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db54"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db55"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db56"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5c"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db5d"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db34"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Biomass+landings trends by (aggregated) Council managed species, stock status, cold vs warm water spp</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db35"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db36"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db37"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Council management added to species table</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc31"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Seal index, Apex predator index (pinnipeds, time series of marine mammal species abundance</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc38"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2020, 2021, 2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc39"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Low</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc3a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc42"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc43"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Protected species branch developing time series</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dcb0"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Biomass of spp not included in BTS</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dcb1"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2020</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dcb2"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lowest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dcba"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dcbb"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dcbc"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="6"class="cl-b9f4dbd5"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35ca0">Stock level indicators</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db8e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Shellfish growth/distribution linked to climate (system productivity)</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db8f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2019</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db90"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Moderate</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db98"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db99"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db9a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Project with A. Hollander</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dcc4"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Indicator of scallop pred pops poorly sampled by bottom trawls</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dcc5"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dcc6"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Moderate</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dcc7"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dcce"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dccf"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db34"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Climate change impacts on NEFSC surveys - change in survey catchability</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db35"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2023</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db36"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db37"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Varies by research track</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db40"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Evaluate if NARW hotspots changing over time</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db48"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db49"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db4a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db4b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db52"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc26"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Update text around NARW trend drivers, specifically recent stabilization (for PSD)</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc27"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc28"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc2e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC Public comment</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc2f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc30"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc31"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Include cross references to stock specific products (ECSA/ESP), ensure consistent approaches</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc38"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc39"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc3a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc42"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc43"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Data engineering and coordinated indicator workgroup</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db34"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Sturgeon Bycatch </span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db35"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2021</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db36"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lowest</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db37"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db3f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="6"class="cl-b9f4dcd0"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35ca0">SOE admin</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db8e"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">SOE usage tracking</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db8f"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2022-2023</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db90"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db98"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">MAFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db99"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db9a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Draft manuscript in progress</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db40"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Include estimates of inclusion years in request memo</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db48"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2022</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db49"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db4a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db4b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db52"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Reorganized memo to clarify project timing</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dc63"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Include statement on reliance on contributors for evaluation of data quality</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc64"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc6a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc6b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc74"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dc75"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Lacking resources this year</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4db40"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Establish criteria for inclusion of events in the Year Highlights section</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db48"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db49"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db4a"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db4b"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">In progress</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4db52"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Requested observations from fishers, managers, and scientists</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-b9f4dce2"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">More frequent indicator updates in web based product</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dce3"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">2024</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dce4"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Unranked</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dce5"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">NEFMC SSC</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dcec"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Not started</span></p></td><td class="cl-b9f4dced"><p class="cl-b9f4c658"><span class="cl-b9f35caa">Had plans, lost personnel</span></p></td></tr></tbody></table></div> ] --- # 2025 Changes: Trend assessment .pull-left[ ## Recent short term trends assessed Andy Beet's [`arfit` R package](https://noaa-edab.github.io/arfit/articles/background_work.html) integrated into `ecodata` Apply to most recent 10 years of each dataset Apply to full datasets <30 years <br> <br> ## No more polynomial long term trends assessed Decision based on how strange some of them looked Has implications for risk assessment scoring ] .pull-right[ <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-4-1.png" width="504" /> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-5-1.png" width="504" /> ] ??? Tests for significant trend, null hypothesis is mean with autocorrelation (no trend) --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE-MA-02282025-508-performance.png") background-size: 500px background-position: right ## Mid Atlantic State of the Ecosystem Summary 2025: **Performance relative to management objectives** .pull-left-60[ Seafood production ,  Profits ,  Recreational opportunities: Effort  ; Effort diversity   Stability: Fishery not stable; Ecological not stable Social and cultural: * Fishing engagement and social vulnerability status by community * Revenue climate vulnerability , majority high risk Protected species: * Maintain bycatch below thresholds (harbor porpoise, gray seals)   * Recover endangered populations (NARW)   ] .pull-right-40[] --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE-MA-02282025-508-risks.png") background-size: 500px background-position: right ## State of the Ecosystem Summary 2025: **Risks to meeting fishery management objectives** .pull-left-60[ Climate: risks to managing spatially, managing seasonally, and catch specification * Fish and protected species distribution shifts * Changing spawning and migration timing * Multiple stocks with poor condition, declining productivity Other ocean uses: offshore wind development * Current revenue in proposed areas - 1-46% by Mid-Atlantic port - 2-16% by MAFMC managed species * Overlap with important right whale foraging habitats, increased vessel strike and noise risks ] .pull-right-40[] --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE-MA-02282025-508-highlights.png") background-size: 500px background-position: right ## State of the Ecosystem Summary 2025: **2024 Highlights** .pull-left-60[ Notable 2024 events and conditions * 2024 warmest year on record globally. Again. * BUT * Cooler conditions across the coast * Well established Mid Atlantic Cold Pool * Multiple summer upwelling events off NJ * Extreme ocean acidification measured off NJ * Many fishery observations of different spatial and timing patterns, changed abundance * Good scallop recruitment in Nantucket lightship * More red drum in Chesapeake Bay * Arctic copepods in GOM * Cocolithophore bloom off NY * Large whale aggregations We welcome your observations! <northeast.ecosystem.highlights@noaa.gov> ] .pull-right-40[ ] --- # 2025 Performance relative to management objectives .center[  &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;  &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;  &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;  &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;  ] --- ## Objective: Mid Atlantic Seafood production   &emsp; Risk elements: <span style="background-color:orange;">ComFood</span> and <span style="background-color:orange;">RecFood</span>, unchanged .pull-left[ Indicators: Commercial landings, climate risk <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-6-1.png" width="504" /> .right[ <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/climatevul-land-1.png" alt="Mid-Atlantic region total climate vulnerability of commercial landings (sum of Mid-Atlantic port landings weighted by species climate vulnerability from Hare et al. 2016)." width="432" /> ] ] .pull-right[ Indicators: Recreational harvest <br> <br> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-7-1.png" width="504" /> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-8-1.png" width="504" /> .table[ Multiple potential drivers: ecosystem and stock production, management, market conditions, and environmental change. ] ] ??? The long-term declining trend in landings didn't change. --- ## Mid Atlantic Landings drivers: Stock status? TAC? &emsp; Risk elements: Fstatus, Bstatus, MgtControl .pull-left[ Indicator: Stock status <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-9-1.png" width="504" /> ] .pull-right[ Indicators: Total ABC or ACL, and Realized catch relative to management target <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-10-1.png" width="504" /> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-11-1.png" width="360" /> .contrib[ Few managed species have binding limits; Management less likely playing a role ] ] ??? Stock status affects catch limits established by the Council, which in turn may affect landings trends. Summed across all MAFMC managed species, total Acceptable Biological Catch or Annual Catch Limits (ABC or ACL) have been relatively stable 2012-2020 (top). With the addition of blueline tilefish management in 2017, an additional ABC and ACL contribute to the total 2017-2020. Discounting blueline tilefish, the recent total ABC or ACL is lower relative to 2012-2013, with much of that decrease due to declining Atlantic mackerel ABC. Nevertheless, the percentage caught for each stock’s ABC/ACL suggests that these catch limits are not generally constraining as most species are well below the 1/1 ratio (bottom). Therefore, stock status and associated management constraints are unlikely to be driving decreased landings for the majority of species. --- ## Implications: Mid Atlantic Seafood Production Drivers .pull-left[ Biomass does not appear to drive landings trends <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-12-1.png" width="576" /> .contrib[ Key: Black = NEFSC survey; <p style="color:#FF6A6A;">Red = NEAMAP survey</p> ] ] .pull-right[ .contrib[ * Declining aggregate planktivores, benthos? .center[ <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-13-1.png" width="288" /> ] * Recreational drivers differ: shark fishery management, possibly survey methodology Monitor: * climate risks including warming, ocean acidification, and shifting distributions * ecosystem composition and production changes * fishing engagement ] ] ??? Because stock status is mostly acceptable, ABCs don't appear to be constraining for many stocks, and aggregate biomass trends appear stable, the decline in commercial landings is most likely driven by market dynamics affecting the landings of surfclams and ocean quahogs, as quotas are not binding for these species. Climate change also seems to be shifting the distribution of surfclams and ocean quahogs, resulting in areas with overlapping distributions and increased mixed landings. Given the regulations governing mixed landings, this could become problematic in the future and is currently being evaluated by the Council. --- ## Objective: Mid Atlantic Commercial Profits   &emsp; Risk element: <span style="background-color:orange;">CommRev</span>, unchanged .pull-left[ Indicator: Commercial Revenue; profit indicators under SSC review <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-14-1.png" width="504" /> .right[ <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/climatevul-rev-1.png" alt="Mid-Atlantic region total climate vulnerability of commercial revenue (sum of Mid-Atlantic port revenue weighted by species climate vulnerability from Hare et al. 2016)." width="432" /> ] Recent change driven by benthos Monitor changes in climate and landings drivers: - Climate risk element: <span style="background-color:orange;">Surfclams</span> and <span style="background-color:red;">ocean quahogs</span> are sensitive to ocean warming and acidification. - pH in surfclam summer habitat is approaching, but not yet at, pH affecting surfclam growth ] .pull-right[ Indicator: Bennet--price and volume indices <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/bennet-1.png" width="446.4" /> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/bennet-all-1.png" width="432" /> ] ??? Recent change driven by benthos Monitor changes in climate and landings drivers: - Climate risk element: <span style="background-color:orange;">Surfclams</span> and <span style="background-color:red;">ocean quahogs</span> are sensitive to ocean warming and acidification. - pH in surfclam summer habitat is approaching, but not yet at, pH affecting surfclam growth --- ## Objective: Mid Atlantic Recreational opportunities  ;   Risk elements: <span style="background-color:yellow;">RecValue</span>, <span style="background-color:red;">RecDiv</span> .pull-left[ Indicators: Recreational effort and fleet diversity <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-15-1.png" width="504" /> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-16-1.png" width="504" /> ] .pull-right[ Implications * Adding 2023 data, recreational effort (angler trips) retains the long term increase. * The increasing long term trend changed the risk category for the RecValue element back to low-moderate (previously ranked low risk). * *New risk element*: Decline in recreational fleet diversity suggests a potentially reduced range of opportunities. * Driven by party/charter contraction and a shift toward shore based angling. ] ??? Changes in recreational fleet diversity can be considered when managers seek options to maintain recreational opportunities. Shore anglers will have access to different species than vessel-based anglers, and when the same species, typically smaller fish. Many states have developed shore-based regulations where the minimum size is lower than in other areas and sectors to maintain opportunities in the shore angling sector. --- ## Objective: Mid Atlantic Fishery Stability: Not Stable &emsp; Risk elements: <span style="background-color:orange;">FleetDiv</span> and <span style="background-color:lightgreen;">FishRes1</span> .pull-left[ *Fishery* Indicators: Commercial fleet count, fleet diversity <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-17-1.png" width="504" /> ] .pull-right[ *Fishery* Indicators: commercial species revenue diversity, recreational species catch diversity <br> <br> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-18-1.png" width="504" /> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-19-1.png" width="504" /> ] --- ## Objective: Mid Atlantic Ecological Stability: Not Stable .pull-left[ *Ecological* Indicators: PP and zooplankton <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/totpp-1.png" width="504" /> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-20-1.png" width="504" /> ] .pull-right[ *Ecological* Indicators: fish richness and traits <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-21-1.png" width="504" /> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/traits-1.png" alt="Fish community functional traits in the Mid Atlantic Bight based on Fall (red) and Spring (blue) survey data. Length at maturity for the full finfish community has increased in spring (orange line), but decreased in fall (purple lines)" width="504" /> ] ??? While larval and adult fish diversity indices are stable, a few warm-southern larval species are becoming more dominant. Increasing zooplankton diversity is driven by declining dominance of an important species, which warrants continued monitoring. --- ## Community Social and Climate Vulnerability &emsp; Risk element: <span style="background-color:orange;">Social</span> Indicators: Commercial fishery engagement, social vulnerability, revenue climate vulnerability .pull-left[ <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/commercial-engagement-1.png" width="504" /> ] .pull-right[ <div class="tabwid"><style>.cl-d4659e22{}.cl-d463232c{font-family:'Helvetica';font-size:8pt;font-weight:normal;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);background-color:transparent;}.cl-d46410ca{margin:0;text-align:left;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);padding-bottom:5pt;padding-top:5pt;padding-left:5pt;padding-right:5pt;line-height: 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1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d4641da5{width:0.662in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d4641da6{width:1.835in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d4641da7{width:1.255in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d4641da8{width:1.459in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d4641dae{width:0.662in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}</style><table data-quarto-disable-processing='true' class='cl-d4659e22'><thead><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><th class="cl-d4641d5e"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Community</span></p></th><th class="cl-d4641d5f"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Personal Disruption</span></p></th><th class="cl-d4641d60"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Population Composition</span></p></th><th class="cl-d4641d61"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Poverty</span></p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d68"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Cape May, NJ</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d69"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d6a"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">med</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d6b"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d72"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Reedville, VA</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d73"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d74"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d7c"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d7d"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Montauk, NY</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d7e"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d7f"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d86"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d72"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Point Pleasant Beach, NJ</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d73"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">med</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d74"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d7c"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d68"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Hampton Bays/Shinnecock, NY</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d69"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d6a"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">high</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d6b"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d87"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Barnegat Light, NJ</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d88"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d89"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d8a"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d68"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Bronx/City Island, NY</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d69"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">high</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d6a"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">high</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d6b"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">high</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d90"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Newport News, VA</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d91"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">med</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d92"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d9a"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">med</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d90"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Hampton, VA</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d91"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">med</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d92"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d9a"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">med</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d9b"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Wanchese, NC</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d9c"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641da4"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641da5"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d68"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Atlantic City, NJ</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d69"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">high</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d6a"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">high</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d6b"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">high</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d68"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Ocean City, MD</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d69"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">med</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d6a"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d6b"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d9b"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Swan Quarter, NC</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d9c"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641da4"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641da5"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d87"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Wachapreague, VA</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d88"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d89"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d8a"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d68"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Quinby, VA</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d69"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">med</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d6a"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d6b"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d7d"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Bowers, DE</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d7e"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d7f"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d86"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641d87"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Little Creek, DE</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d88"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">high</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d89"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641d8a"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">high</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d4641da6"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">Oak Beach, NY</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641da7"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641da8"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d4641dae"><p class="cl-d46410ca"><span class="cl-d463232c"></span></p></td></tr></tbody></table></div> ] --- ## Community Social and Climate Vulnerability &emsp; Risk element: <span style="background-color:orange;">Social</span> Indicators: Commercial fishery revenue climate vulnerability .pull-left[ <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/commvulex-1.png" width="468" /> The [Community Climate Change Risk Indicators](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/community_climate_vulnerability.html) are calculated by multiplying the percent contribution of species to the total value landed in a community by their respective Total Vulnerability scores (based on NOAA’s Climate Vulnerability Assessment) for different sensitivity and exposure factors and then summing the resulting values by year. ] .pull-right[ .center[  ] ] --- ## Community Social and Climate Vulnerability &emsp; Risk element: <span style="background-color:orange;">Social</span> Indicators: Recreational fishery engagement, social vulnerability .pull-left[ <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/recreational-engagement-1.png" alt="Recreational engagement and population relative engagement with labels for the top recreationally engaged fishing communities in the Mid-Atlantic." width="504" /> ] .pull-right[ <div class="tabwid"><style>.cl-d774d0ec{}.cl-d77149fe{font-family:'Helvetica';font-size:8pt;font-weight:normal;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);background-color:transparent;}.cl-d7723ff8{margin:0;text-align:left;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);padding-bottom:5pt;padding-top:5pt;padding-left:5pt;padding-right:5pt;line-height: 1;background-color:transparent;}.cl-d7724b6a{width:2.193in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid 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1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7724bc7{width:0.662in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7724bc8{width:2.193in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7724bce{width:1.255in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7724bcf{width:1.459in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7724bd0{width:0.662in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7724bd8{width:2.193in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7724bd9{width:1.255in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7724bda{width:1.459in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7724be2{width:0.662in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}</style><table data-quarto-disable-processing='true' class='cl-d774d0ec'><thead><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><th class="cl-d7724b6a"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Community</span></p></th><th class="cl-d7724b74"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Personal Disruption</span></p></th><th class="cl-d7724b75"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Population Composition</span></p></th><th class="cl-d7724b76"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Poverty</span></p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724b7e"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Cape May, NJ</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b7f"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b80"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">med</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b81"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724b88"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Montauk, NY</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b89"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b8a"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b92"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724b93"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Point Pleasant Beach, NJ</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b94"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">med</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b9c"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b9d"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724b9e"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Barnegat Light, NJ</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba6"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba7"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba8"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724b7e"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Ocean City, MD</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b7f"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">med</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b80"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b81"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724b9e"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Virginia Beach, VA</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba6"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba7"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba8"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724b7e"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Morehead City, NC</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b7f"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">med</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b80"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b81"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">med</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724ba9"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Hatteras township, NC</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724baa"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bb0"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bb1"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724b9e"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Wachapreague, VA</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba6"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba7"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba8"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724b9e"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Avon, NC</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba6"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">high</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba7"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba8"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe"></span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724b9e"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Atlantic Highlands, NJ</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba6"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba7"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba8"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724bb2"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Babylon, NY</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bba"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bbb"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bbc"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724bc4"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Nags Head, NC</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bc5"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bc6"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bc7"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724b88"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Point Lookout, NY</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b89"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b8a"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b92"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724b9e"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Nanticoke, MD</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba6"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">med high</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba7"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba8"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724bc8"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Orient, NY</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bce"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bcf"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bd0"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe"></span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724b9e"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Bivalve, MD</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba6"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">med</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba7"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">high</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724ba8"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe"></span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724bc8"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Rodanthe, NC</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bce"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bcf"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bd0"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe"></span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724ba9"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Topsail Beach, NC</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724baa"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bb0"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bb1"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724b7e"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Solomons Island/Solomons/Lusby, MD</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b7f"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b80"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724b81"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7724bd8"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">Stevensville, MD</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bd9"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">med</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724bda"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7724be2"><p class="cl-d7723ff8"><span class="cl-d77149fe">low</span></p></td></tr></tbody></table></div> ] ??? Implications: Highlighted communities may be vulnerable to changes in fishing patterns due to regulations and/or climate change. --- ## Objectives: Coastwide Protected species *Maintain bycatch below thresholds*   .pull-left[ Indicators: Harbor porpoise and gray seal bycatch <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-22-1.png" width="504" /> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-23-1.png" width="504" /> ] .pull-right[ Implications: * Currently meeting objectives, but uncertainty in gray seal estimates * Risk element: TechInteract, evaluated by species and sector: 14 <span style="background-color:lightgreen;">low</span>, 7 <span style="background-color:yellow;">low-mod</span>, 2 <span style="background-color:orange;">mod-high</span> risk * The downward trend in harbor porpoise bycatch can also be due to a decrease in harbor porpoise abundance in US waters, reducing their overlap with fisheries, and a decrease in gillnet effort. * Gray seal among the highest bycatch of any U.S. marine mammal. The increasing trend in gray seal bycatch may be related to an increase in the gray seal population (U.S. pup counts). ] --- ## Objectives: Coastwide Protected species *Recover endangered populations*   .pull-left[ Indicators: North Atlantic right whale population, calf counts <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-24-1.png" width="504" /> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-25-1.png" width="504" /> ] .pull-right[ Implications: * Signs the adult population stabilized 2020-2023 * Population drivers for North Atlantic Right Whales (NARW) include combined fishery interactions/ship strikes, distribution shifts, and copepod availability. * Additional potential stressors include offshore wind development, which overlaps with important habitat areas used year-round by right whales, including mother and calf migration corridors and foraging habitat. * Unusual mortality events continue for 3 large whale species. <!--* Risk elements: - FW2Prey evaluated by species: 13 <span style="background-color:lightgreen;">low</span>, 3 <span style="background-color:yellow;">low-mod</span> risk, unchanged - TechInteract, evaluated by species and sector, unchanged--> ] --- # 2025 Risks to meeting fishery management objectives .center[  &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;  ] .center[  &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;  &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;  &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;  &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;  ] --- .pull-left[ ## Revised Risks: Climate and Ecosystem Change <div class="tabwid"><style>.cl-d7b38332{}.cl-d7b01f08{font-family:'Helvetica';font-size:11pt;font-weight:normal;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);background-color:transparent;}.cl-d7b01f12{font-family:'Helvetica';font-size:11pt;font-weight:bold;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);background-color:transparent;}.cl-d7b12236{margin:0;text-align:left;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid 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1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7b12c91{width:0.99in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7b12c92{width:2.204in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7b12c9a{width:2.806in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7b12c9b{width:0.99in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7b12c9c{width:2.204in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7b12c9d{width:2.806in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7b12c9e{width:0.99in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7b12c9f{width:2.204in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7b12ca4{width:2.806in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7b12ca5{width:0.99in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7b12ca6{width:2.204in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-d7b12ca7{width:2.806in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}</style><table data-quarto-disable-processing='true' class='cl-d7b38332'><caption style="display:table-caption;margin:0pt;text-align:center;border-bottom: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-top: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-left: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-right: 0.00pt solid transparent;padding-top:3pt;padding-bottom:3pt;padding-left:3pt;padding-right:3pt;line-height: 1;background-color:transparent;"><span>Risks to meeting fishery management objectives in the Mid-Atlantic Bight</span></caption><thead><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><th class="cl-d7b12c86"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Risk categories</span></p></th><th class="cl-d7b12c87"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Observation indicators reported</span></p></th><th class="cl-d7b12c90"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Potential driver indicators reported</span></p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="3"class="cl-d7b12c91"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f12">Climate and Ecosystem Risks</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7b12c9b"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Risks to Managing Spatially</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7b12c9c"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Managed species (fish and cetacean) distribution shifts</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7b12c9d"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Benthic and pelagic forage distribution; ocean temperature, changes in currents and cold pool</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7b12c9b"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Risks to Managing Seasonally</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7b12c9c"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Managed species spawning and migration timing changes</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7b12c9d"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Habitat timing: Length of ocean summer, cold pool seasonal persistence</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7b12c9b"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Risks to Setting Catch Limits</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7b12c9c"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Managed species body condition and recruitment changes</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7b12c9d"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Benthic and pelagic forage quality &amp; abundance: ocean temperature &amp; acidification </span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="3"class="cl-d7b12c9e"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f12">Other Ocean Uses Risks</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-d7b12ca5"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Offshore Wind Risks</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7b12ca6"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Fishery revenue and landings from wind lease areas by species and port</span></p></td><td class="cl-d7b12ca7"><p class="cl-d7b12236"><span class="cl-d7b01f08">Wind development speed; Protected species presence and hotspots</span></p></td></tr></tbody></table></div> ] .pull-right[ ### Risks to Managing Spatially .table[Potential Impacts: Spatial misallocation of quotas within and across jurisdictions, leading to unmet quotas and/or increased discards. Specification of gear management areas may not utilize quotas and minimize bycatch.] ### Risks to Managing Seasonally .table[Potential Impacts: Spawning closures are less effective if peak spawning occurs outside the seasonal closure. Seasonal openings of exemption areas may be inconsistent with species presence. Seasonal quota allocations may be misaligned with availability.] ### Risks to Setting Catch Limits .table[Potential Impacts: Changes in environmental conditions can affect stock reference points and short-term stock projections. When productivity changes are not accounted for, they can lead to misspecified quotas and rebuilding plans.] ] --- ## Risks to Managing Spatially: Coastwide .pull-left[ Indicators: Fish distribution shifts <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-26-1.png" width="396" /> ] .pull-right[ Cetacean distribution shifts <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-27-1.png" width="504" /> ] --- .pull-left[ ## Risks to Managing Spatially: Coastwide Drivers: Forage shifts, pelagic and benthic <br> <br> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/forageshifts-1.png" alt="Eastward (left) and northward (right) shifts in the center of gravity for 20 forage fish species on the Northeast U.S. Shelf, with increasing trend (orange) for fall eastward and northward center of gravity." width="576" /> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/macrobenthosshifts-1.png" alt="Eastward (left) and northward (right) shifts in the center of gravity for macrobenthos species on the Northeast U.S. Shelf" width="576" /> New Spatial Shift Indicators: [Benthos](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/benthos_index.html), [Zooplankton](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/zooplankton_index.html) ] .pull-right[ Drivers: changing ocean habitat <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/long-term-sst-1.png" alt="Northeast US annual sea surface temperature (SST, black), with increasing trend (orange)." width="504" /> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/GSI-1.png" alt="Index representing changes in the location of the Gulf Stream north wall (black). Positive values represent a more northerly Gulf Stream position, NO LONGER HAS increasing trend." width="504" /> .contrib[ Cold pool temperature and spatial extent ] <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/cold-pool-size-1.png" alt="Seasonal cold pool mean temperature (left) and spatial extent index (right), based on bias-corrected ROMS-NWA (open circles) and GLORYS (closed circles), with declining trends (purple)." width="540" /> ] --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/EastCoastClimateScenarios.png") background-size: 400px background-position: right bottom ## Risks to Managing Spatially: Coastwide **Future considerations** Distribution shifts caused by changes in thermal habitat and ocean circulation are likely to continue as long as long-term trends persist. Episodic and short-term events (see [2024 Highlights](#2024-highlights)) may increase variability in the trends, however species distributions are unlikely to reverse to historical ranges in the short term. Increased mechanistic understanding of distribution drivers is needed to better understand future distribution shifts: species with high mobility or short lifespans react differently from immobile or long lived species. Long-term oceanographic projections forecast a [temporary pause in warming](https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2024GL110946) over the next decade due to internal variability in circulation and a southward shift of the Gulf Stream. Near-term forecasts are being evaluated to determine how well they are able to predict episodic and anomalous events that are outside of the long-term patterns. .pull-left-70[ Adapting management to changing stock distributions and dynamic ocean processes will require continued monitoring of populations in space and evaluating management measures against a range of possible future spatial distributions. Processes like the [East Coast Climate Scenario Planning](https://www.mafmc.org/climate-change-scenario-planning), and subsequent formation of the [East Coast Climate Coordination Group](https://www.mafmc.org/e3cg), can help coordinate management. ] .pull-right-30[] ??? <a name=cite-koul_predicted_2024></a>([Koul et al., 2024](https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2024GL110946)) --- ## Risks to Managing Seasonally: Coastwide Indicators: spawning timing, migration change .pull-left-70[ <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/spawntiming-1.png" alt="Percent resting stage (non-spawning) mature female fish (black) with significant increases (orange) and decreases (purple) from two haddock and three yellowtail flounder stocks: CC = Cape Cod Gulf of Maine, GOM = Gulf of Maine, GB = Georges Bank, SNE = Southern New England." width="720" /> ] .pull-right-30[ * Recreational tuna fisheries [50 days earlier](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/timing_shifts.html#key-results-and-visualizations-59) in the year in 2019 compared to 2002. * In Cape Cod Bay, peak spring habitat use by right and humpback whales has shifted 18-19 days later over time. * Baseline information on [large whale seasonal presence](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/cetacean_acoustic.html) has been collected. ] --- .pull-left[ ## Risks to Managing Seasonally: Mid-Atlantic Drivers: thermal transition, habitat persistence, bloom timing <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/transition-1.png" alt="Ocean summer length: the annual total number of days between the spring thermal transition date and the fall thermal transition date (black), with an increasing trend (orange)." width="504" /> .contrib[ Cold pool seasonal persistence ] <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/cold-pool-time-1.png" alt="Cold pool persistence index based on bias-corrected ROMS-NWA (open circles) and GLORYS (closed circles)." width="504" /> ] .pull-right[ .contrib[ Bloom timing ] <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/montlychl-1.png" alt="Monthly median chlorophyll a concentration in the MAB (black) with significant increase in January (orange line) and decrease in September (purple line)." width="1008" /> Future considerations * Management actions that rely on effective alignment of fisheries availability and biological processes should continue to evaluate whether prior assumptions on seasonal timings still hold. * New indicators should be developed to monitor timing shifts for stocks. ] ??? --- ## Risks to Setting Catch Limits: Mid-Atlantic .pull-left[ Indicators: fish productivity and condition <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/productivity-anomaly-1.png" alt="Fish productivity measures. Left: Small fish per large fish survey biomass anomaly in the Mid-Atlantic Bight. Right: assessment recruitment per spawning stock biomass anomaly for stocks mainly in the Mid-Atlantic. The summed anomaly across species is shown by the black line, drawn across all years with the same number of stocks analyzed." width="576" /> ] .pull-right[ <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/mab-cf-1.png" alt="Condition factor for fish species in the MAB based on fall NEFSC bottom trawl survey data. MAB data are missing for 2017 due to survey delays, and no survey was conducted in 2020." width="1440" /> ] ??? <a name=cite-perretti_regime_2017></a>([Perretti et al., 2017](http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/meps/v574/p1-11/)) --- ## Risks to Setting Catch Limits: Mid Atlantic Drivers .pull-left[ Drivers: Forage Quality and Abundance <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/energy-density-1.png" alt="Forage fish energy density mean and standard deviation by season and year, compared with 1980s (solid line) and 1990s (dashed line) values." width="540" /> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/foragebio-1.png" alt="Forage fish index in the MAB for spring (blue) and fall (red) surveys, with a decline (purple) in fall. Index values are relative to the maximum observation within a region across surveys." width="504" /> ] .pull-right[ New indicators: benthos abundance <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/benthos-1.png" alt="Changes in spring (blue) and fall (red) benthos abundance in the MAB for megabenthos (left) and macrobenthos (right)." width="540" /> ] --- ## Risks to Setting Catch Limits: Mid Atlantic Drivers Drivers: Low trophic levels .center[ <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/totppagain-1.png" alt="Total areal annual primary production for the MAB. The dashed line represents the long-term (1998-2024) annual mean." width="504" /> <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/zoopanom-1.png" alt="Changes in zooplankton abundance in the MAB for large (top left) and small (top right) copepods, Cnidarians (bottom left), and Euphausiids (bottom right), with significant increases (orange) in small copeods and Cnidarians." width="864" /> ] ??? --- ## Risks to Setting Catch Limits: Coastwide Drivers: Environmental *Potential Ocean Acidification Impacts: Scallops and Longfin squid* <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/mab-oa-1.png" alt="Locations where bottom aragonite saturation state (`\(\Omega_{Arag}\)`; summer only: June-August) were at or below the laboratory-derived sensitivity level for Atlantic sea scallop (left panel) and longfin squid (right panel) for the time periods 2007-2022 (dark cyan), 2023 only (magenta) and 2024 only (cyan). Gray circles indicate locations where bottom `\(\Omega_{Arag}\)` values were above the species specific sensitivity values." width="100%" /> Drivers: Predation *Seals increasing, mix of population status for HMS* --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//RegimeShift_V5.jpg") background-size: 500px background-position: right bottom ## Risks to Setting Catch Limits Future considerations * Processes that control fish productivity and mortality are dynamic, complex, and are the result of the interactions between multiple changing system drivers. * There is a real risk that short-term predictions in assessments and rebuilding plans that assume unchanging underlying conditions will not be as effective, given the observed change documented in the prior sections in both ecological and environmental processes. * Assumptions for species’ growth, reproduction, and natural mortality should continue to be evaluated for individual species. .pull-left-60[ * With observations of system-wide productivity shifts of multiple managed stocks, more research is needed to determine whether regime shifts or ecosystem reorganization are occurring, and how this should be incorporated into management. ] .pull-right-40[] --- ## Risks: Offshore Wind Development Mid Atlantic &emsp; Elements: OSW1 and OSW2 .pull-left[ Indicators: fishery and community specific revenue in lease areas <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-28-1.png" width="504" /> Council request: New England ports relying on Mid-Atlantic managed species <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/wind-rev-NE-MAFMC-1.png" width="468" style="display: block; margin: auto auto auto 0;" /> ] .pull-right[ <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-29-1.png" width="504" /> ] --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/ecodata/raw/master/data-raw/workshop/images/SOE_2023_right_whales_hatteras_frame_v3_2024.jpg") background-size: 500px background-position: right ## Risks: Offshore Wind Development: Implications .pull-left[ <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-30-1.png" width="504" /> Implications: * Current plans for buildout of offshore wind in a patchwork of areas spreads the impacts differentially throughout the region. * Lease areas overlap with North Atlantic right whale habitat. Development may alter local oceanography and prey availability, increase vessel strike risk, and result in pile driving noise impacts. ] .pull-right[] ??? --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/CCCFA-Feb2025-highlight.png") background-size: 600px background-position: right ## 2024 Highlights: Methods .pull-left-60[ Observations solicited from: * SOE contributors * NEFSC colleagues * Academic colleagues * Management partners * Fishing industry We welcome your observations! <northeast.ecosystem.highlights@noaa.gov> Observations included if: * Record high or low observations * Different from recent conditions * Reported by multiple sources * Affecting fishery operations * Newsworthy *Not exhaustive list; Full impacts remain to be seen* ] .pull-right-40[] .footnote[ Reprinted from [Cape Cod Commercial Fisherman's Alliance](https://capecodfishermen.org/) February 2025 Newsletter &rarr; ] --- ## 2024 Highlights: generally cooler, fresher Northeast Shelf .pull-left[ <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/slopesea-1.png" alt="February 2024 sea surface temperature difference compared to the February 2000-2020 long-term mean from the NOAA Advanced Clear-Sky Processor for Ocean (ACSPO) Super-collated SST." width="100%" /> ] .pull-right[ Globally, 2024 warmest year on record (above previous record 2023) BUT, nearly all NE shelf seasonal surface and bottom temperatures back to longer term average 2023-2024 data suggest more Labrador slope water into the GOM <a name=cite-record_early_2024></a>([Record et al., 2024](https://tos.org/oceanography/article/early-warning-of-a-cold-wave-in-the-gulf-of-maine)) <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/slopewater-1.png" alt="The proportion of Warm Slope Water (WSW) and Labrador Slope Water (LSW) enter the Gulf of Maine through the Northeast Channel. The orange and teal dashed lines represent the long-term proportion averages for the WSW and LSW, respectively." width="504" /> Linked to well-developed 2024 Mid Atlantic Cold Pool ] --- .pull-left[ ## 2024 Highlights <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/mab-oa2-1.png" alt="Locations where bottom aragonite saturation state (`\(\Omega_{Arag}\)`; summer only: June-August) were at or below the laboratory-derived sensitivity level for Atlantic sea scallop (left panel) and longfin squid (right panel) for the time periods 2007-2022 (dark cyan), 2023 only (magenta) and 2024 only (cyan). Gray circles indicate locations where bottom `\(\Omega_{Arag}\)` values were above the species specific sensitivity values.." width="100%" /> Extreme observation of ocean acidification risk off NJ Multiple summer upwelling events off NJ ] .pull-right[ Unusual timing, location, abundance: * Fishery observations * Delayed migration of longfin squid, black sea bass, haddock * Unusual locations for pollock, bluefin tuna, Atlantic mackerel, longfin squid, bluefish, and bonito * Local abundance of Atlantic mackerel * Record catches of red drum in Chesapeake Bay * Good scallop recruitment in Nantucket lightship * Arctic copepods in GOM * Cocolithophore bloom off NY * Large whale aggregations .right[ <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/cocobloom-1.png" alt="An OLCI Sentinel 3A true color image with enhanced contrast captured on July 2, 2024. Coccolithophores shed their coccolith plates during the later stages of the bloom cycle, which results in the milky turquoise water color (Image credit: NOAA STAR, OCView and Ocean Color Science Team)." width="55%" /> ] ] --- .pull-left[ # Take Home **Mostly meeting individual stock objectives.** <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-31-1.png" width="504" /> ] .pull-right[ **Ecosystem level management objectives worrying?** Declining <span style="background-color:orange;">seafood production</span> Historically low <span style="background-color:orange;">revenue</span> Declining range of <span style="background-color:red;">recreational opportunities</span> Most community level revenue has high climate vulnerability <img src="20250408_SOE_MAFMC_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-32-1.png" width="504" /> ] Species distributions, timing, and productivity have changed. Ocean conditions highly variable year to year. --- ## Discussion .pull-left[ <div class="tabwid"><style>.cl-fb5b6886{}.cl-fb590ef6{font-family:'Helvetica';font-size:11pt;font-weight:normal;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);background-color:transparent;}.cl-fb590f00{font-family:'Helvetica';font-size:11pt;font-weight:bold;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);background-color:transparent;}.cl-fb5a0b9e{margin:0;text-align:left;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);padding-bottom:5pt;padding-top:5pt;padding-left:5pt;padding-right:5pt;line-height: 1;background-color:transparent;}.cl-fb5a15ee{width:2.094in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 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1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-fb5a1621{width:4.939in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-fb5a1622{width:2.094in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-fb5a162a{width:4.939in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-fb5a162b{width:2.094in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-fb5a162c{width:4.939in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}</style><table data-quarto-disable-processing='true' class='cl-fb5b6886'><caption style="display:table-caption;margin:0pt;text-align:center;border-bottom: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-top: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-left: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-right: 0.00pt solid transparent;padding-top:3pt;padding-bottom:3pt;padding-left:3pt;padding-right:3pt;line-height: 1;background-color:transparent;"><span>Ecosystem-scale fishery management objectives</span></caption><thead><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><th class="cl-fb5a15ee"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Objective categories</span></p></th><th class="cl-fb5a15ef"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Indicators reported</span></p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="2"class="cl-fb5a15f0"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590f00">Objectives: Provisioning and Cultural Services</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-fb5a15f9"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Seafood Production</span></p></td><td class="cl-fb5a1602"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Landings; commercial total and by feeding guild; recreational harvest</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-fb5a1603"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Commercial Profits</span></p></td><td class="cl-fb5a160c"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Revenue decomposed to price and volume</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-fb5a15f9"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Recreational Opportunities</span></p></td><td class="cl-fb5a1602"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Angler trips; recreational fleet diversity</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-fb5a160d"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Stability</span></p></td><td class="cl-fb5a1616"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Diversity indices (fishery and ecosystem)</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-fb5a1617"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Social &amp; Cultural</span></p></td><td class="cl-fb5a1618"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Community fishing engagement and social vulnerability status</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-fb5a1620"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Protected Species</span></p></td><td class="cl-fb5a1621"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Bycatch; population (adult and juvenile) numbers; mortalities</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="2"class="cl-fb5a1622"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590f00">Potential Drivers: Supporting and Regulating Services</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-fb5a1620"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Management</span></p></td><td class="cl-fb5a1621"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Stock status; catch compared with catch limits</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-fb5a15f9"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Biomass</span></p></td><td class="cl-fb5a1602"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Biomass or abundance by feeding guild from surveys</span></p></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-fb5a162b"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Environment</span></p></td><td class="cl-fb5a162c"><p class="cl-fb5a0b9e"><span class="cl-fb590ef6">Climate and ecosystem risk indicators listed in Table 2</span></p></td></tr></tbody></table></div> ] .pull-right[ **Review objectives: maximum benefit to the Nation in first 3 categories** * Is the list complete? * Does the Council have reference points, desired states, or other performance metrics we should address for each objective? Stability objective: are current indicators addressing Council needs? Forecasts: what decisions or contexts would ocean forecasts be most useful for? ] --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//noaa-iea.png") background-size: 350px background-position: right bottom ## THANK YOU! SOEs made possible by (at least) 88 contributors from 20+ institutions .table[ ![:col_row Andrew Applegate (NEFMC)<br> Kimberly Bastille<br> Aaron Beaver (Anchor QEA)<br> Andy Beet<br> Brandon Beltz<br> Ruth Boettcher (Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries)<br> Mandy Bromilow (NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office)<br> Joseph Caracappa<br> Samuel Chavez-Rosales<br> Baoshan Chen (Stony Brook University)<br> Zhuomin Chen (UConn)<br> Doug Christel (GARFO)<br> Patricia Clay<br> Lisa Colburn<br> Jennifer Cudney (NMFS Atlantic HMS Management Division)<br> Tobey Curtis (NMFS Atlantic HMS Management Division)<br> Art Degaetano (Cornell U)<br> Geret DePiper<br> Bart DiFiore (GMRI)<br> Emily Farr (NMFS Office of Habitat Conservation)<br> Michael Fogarty<br> Paula Fratantoni<br> Kevin Friedland, Marjy Friedrichs (VIMS)<br> Sarah Gaichas<br> Ben Galuardi (GAFRO)<br> Avijit Gangopadhyay (SMAST UMass Dartmouth)<br> James Gartland (VIMS)<br> Lori Garzio (Rutgers University)<br> Glen Gawarkiewicz (WHOI)<br> Laura Gruenburg<br> Sean Hardison<br> Dvora Hart<br> Cliff Hutt (NMFS Atlantic HMS Management Division)<br> Kimberly Hyde<br> John Kocik<br> Steve Kress (National Audubon Society’s Seabird Restoration Program)<br> Young-Oh Kwon (Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution)<br> Scott Large<br> Gabe Larouche (Cornell U)<br> Daniel Linden<br> Andrew Lipsky<br> Sean Lucey (RWE)<br> Don Lyons (National Audubon Society’s Seabird Restoration Program)<br> Chris Melrose<br> Anna Mercer, Shannon Meseck<br> Ryan Morse<br> Ray Mroch (SEFSC)<br> Brandon Muffley (MAFMC)<br> Robert Murphy<br> Kimberly Murray<br> NEFSC staff<br> David Moe Nelson (NCCOS)<br> Chris Orphanides<br> Richard Pace<br> Debi Palka<br> Tom Parham (Maryland DNR)<br> CJ Pellerin (NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office)<br> Charles Perretti<br> Kristin Precoda<br> Grace Roskar (NMFS Office of Habitat Conservation)<br> Jeffrey Runge (U Maine)<br> Grace Saba (Rutgers University)<br> Vincent Saba<br> Sarah Salois<br> Chris Schillaci (GARFO)<br> Amy Schueller (SEFSC)<br> Teresa Schwemmer (URI), Tarsila Seara<br> Dave Secor (CBL)<br> Emily Slesinger<br> Angela Silva<br> Adrienne Silver (UMass/SMAST)<br> Talya tenBrink (GARFO)<br> Abigail Tyrell<br> Rebecca Van Hoeck<br> Bruce Vogt (NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office)<br> Ron Vogel (University of Maryland Cooperative Institute for Satellite Earth System Studies and NOAA/NESDIS Center for Satellite Applications and Research)<br> John Walden<br> Harvey Walsh<br> Sarah Weisberg<br> Changhua Weng<br> Dave Wilcox (VIMS)<br> Timothy White (Environmental Studies Program BOEM)<br> Sarah Wilkin (NMFS Office of Protected Resources)<br> Mark Wuenschel<br> Qian Zhang (U Maryland)] ] ??? --- ## References .contrib[ <a name=bib-bastille_improving_2020></a>[Bastille, K. et al.](#cite-bastille_improving_2020) (2020). "Improving the IEA Approach Using Principles of Open Data Science". In: _Coastal Management_ 0.0. Publisher: Taylor & Francis \_eprint: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155, pp. 1-18. ISSN: 0892-0753. DOI: [10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155](https://doi.org/10.1080%2F08920753.2021.1846155). URL: [https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155](https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155) (visited on Dec. 09, 2020). <a name=bib-depiper_operationalizing_2017></a>[DePiper, G. S. et al.](#cite-depiper_operationalizing_2017) (2017). "Operationalizing integrated ecosystem assessments within a multidisciplinary team: lessons learned from a worked example". En. In: _ICES Journal of Marine Science_ 74.8, pp. 2076-2086. ISSN: 1054-3139. DOI: [10.1093/icesjms/fsx038](https://doi.org/10.1093%2Ficesjms%2Ffsx038). URL: [https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article/74/8/2076/3094701](https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article/74/8/2076/3094701) (visited on Mar. 09, 2018). <a name=bib-koul_predicted_2024></a>[Koul, V. et al.](#cite-koul_predicted_2024) (2024). "A Predicted Pause in the Rapid Warming of the Northwest Atlantic Shelf in the Coming Decade". En. In: _Geophysical Research Letters_ 51.17. \_eprint: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2024GL110946, p. e2024GL110946. ISSN: 1944-8007. DOI: [10.1029/2024GL110946](https://doi.org/10.1029%2F2024GL110946). URL: [https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2024GL110946](https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2024GL110946) (visited on Feb. 11, 2025). <a name=bib-muffley_there_2020></a>[Muffley, B. et al.](#cite-muffley_there_2020) (2020). "There Is no I in EAFM Adapting Integrated Ecosystem Assessment for Mid-Atlantic Fisheries Management". In: _Coastal Management_ 0.0. Publisher: Taylor & Francis \_eprint: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156, pp. 1-17. ISSN: 0892-0753. DOI: [10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156](https://doi.org/10.1080%2F08920753.2021.1846156). URL: [https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156](https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156) (visited on Dec. 09, 2020). <a name=bib-perretti_regime_2017></a>[Perretti, C. et al.](#cite-perretti_regime_2017) (2017). "Regime shifts in fish recruitment on the Northeast US Continental Shelf". En. In: _Marine Ecology Progress Series_ 574, pp. 1-11. ISSN: 0171-8630, 1616-1599. DOI: [10.3354/meps12183](https://doi.org/10.3354%2Fmeps12183). URL: [http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/meps/v574/p1-11/](http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/meps/v574/p1-11/) (visited on Feb. 10, 2022). <a name=bib-record_early_2024></a>[Record, N. R. et al.](#cite-record_early_2024) (2024). "Early Warning of a Cold Wave in the Gulf of Maine". In: _Oceanography_ 37.3, pp. 6-9. DOI: [10.5670/oceanog.2024.506](https://doi.org/10.5670%2Foceanog.2024.506). URL: [https://tos.org/oceanography/article/early-warning-of-a-cold-wave-in-the-gulf-of-maine](https://tos.org/oceanography/article/early-warning-of-a-cold-wave-in-the-gulf-of-maine) (visited on Mar. 04, 2025). ] ## Additional resources .pull-left[ * [ecodata R package](https://github.com/noaa-edab/ecodata) * [Indicator catalog](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/) * [SOE Technical Documentation](https://noaa-edab.github.io/tech-doc) ] .pull-right[ * [SOE Reports on the web](https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/new-england-mid-atlantic/ecosystems/state-ecosystem-reports-northeast-us-shelf) .contrib[ * Slides available at https://noaa-edab.github.io/presentations * Contact: <Sarah.Gaichas@noaa.gov> ] ] ???